Il direttore di Almodon Munir Al Rabie si chiede se "il comandante in capo della nuova amministrazione siriana, Ahmed Al-Sharaa, sarà il prossimo presidente della Repubblica siriana? "
Al-Sharaa, da comandante jihadista, a capo del Fronte Al-Nusra, poi a leader di Hay'at Tahrir Al-Sham e attualmente a capo della nuova amministrazione, si candida ad essere un candidato presidenziale alle prossime elezioni, che dovrebbero svolgersi entro pochi mesi dal completamento delle necessarie modifiche costituzionali.
Regolamento sulle sanzioni
Al-Sharaa, meglio conosciuta come “Al-Jolani”, si è affrettato ad aprire relazioni e collegamenti regionali e internazionali. Ha presentato un discorso conciliante con i paesi occidentali,
che ha spinto gli Stati Uniti a far trapelare notizie sulla possibilità di revocare l'accusa di terrorismo e la relativa taglia di 10 milioni di dollari.
Per le strade e su alcune auto compaiono le sue foto. Damasco è in attesa di visite politiche, tra cui quella del ministro degli Esteri turco Hakan Fidan, accompagnato dal capo dell'intelligence Ibrahim Kalin, per tenere incontri con Sharaa e il Qatar ha anche annunciato l'apertura della sua ambasciata, e c'è la disponibilità a fornire molte iniziative umanitarie e aiuti.
Il personaggio Al-Jolani è stato già raccontato e "vivisezionato" dai media internazionali, nel tentativo di capire le sue reali intenzioni dopo aver preso il potere con estrema facilità.
Al-Jolani è un terrorista stile ISIS mascherato? oppure è un nuovo interprete dell'islamismo rivoluzionario ma pronto a governare con metodi simil-democratici? Di lui si sa con certezza che è un uomo di Erdogan, finanziato, addestrato e armato dai militari turchi con l'obiettivo iniziale di metterlo a capo della enclave di Idlib al confine tra Siria e Turchia in chiave anti-curda, prima ancora che nascesse l'ipotesi di sovvertire il regime di Assad.
Essere l'uomo di Erdogan in Siria fa nascere immediatamente il dubbio che il fronte di opposizione ad Assad possa essere riunificato sotto un unico governo, dato che la minoranza curda ha una presenza importante in Siria ma a ha anche una milizia discretamente armata e sostenuta dagli Stati Uniti (anche se con Trump le cose potrebbero cambiare in peggio).
Lo scenario più gettonato da parte degli analisti è quello di uno smembramento della Siria tra le varie etnie e fazioni religiose, tenendo anche conto che Israele ha già mostrato il suo interesse ad ampliare l'occupazione delle alture del Golan compiendo incursioni con la scusa di distruggere le armi lasciate incustodite dall'esercito di Assad e per non farle finire nelle mani delle milizie islamiche.
A sostegno di un'ipotesi di smembramento della Siria si evidenziano gli scontri armati già in atto tra gli uomini di Al-Jolani e i curdi del SDF, costretti a riparare oltre la riva orientale dell'Eufrate.
In attesa che siano i fatti a far capire meglio le intenzioni dei protagonisti e dei comprimari nel nuovo scenario siriano e mediorientale, affidiamoci alle intuizioni per cercare di capire se Al-Jolani, allievo e proconsole del sultano turco Erdogan, abbia le credenziali per diventare il futuro boss della Siria e regista del "nuovo medioriente" propagandato da più parti con interessi diversi.
Personalmente sono rimasto alquanto colpito dall'intervista che A-Jolani ha concesso alla CNN alcuni giorni prima di entrare a Damasco, quando cominciava comunque ad essere chiaro che la fine del regime era segnata.
Nell'intervista condotta dalla giornalista Jomana Karadsheh, al_Jolani appare un uomo equilibrato, pacato, riflessivo. Ha l'aspetto di un professore di Oxford, magari di Storia Mediorientale, e ha una postura elegante e che trasuda "credibilità".
Un'intervista nella quale risponde ai quesiti banali ma importanti che tutti si pongono.
Perché dovremmo fidarci di te che in passato sei stato attivo nei gruppi terroristi islamisti?
Sarai capace di riunificare senza prevaricazioni le diverse anime della Siria?
Ecco il testo dell'intervista che ho lasciato in inglese, ma consiglio di vedere dapprima il video della CNN per farsi un'idea dello stile di al-Jolani al di là delle parole.
A Syrian rebel forces have now taken over Hama.
That is the second major city they've captured since launching a surprise offensive last week. Happened.
Syria's military says its troops had to withdraw from Hama after rebels entered several parts of the city, in another blow to President Bashar al-Assad.
Now rebel fighters also freed hundreds of prisoners, saying they were all wrongfully detained.
Some residents in Hama are now celebrating the rebel takeover.
Thank God we've been waiting for this day for a long time and we're all coming out on the street.
This is the happiest day for us.
We were afraid to go out at night. We've been waiting for this, for lines of feelings that can't be described. It's been 50 years. We've been suffering injustice and crime and oppression. This is a historic moment. A priceless moment, a priceless moment.
Now, rebels are vowing to push further south to Homs. That is the next major city on the road to the capital, Damascus. CNN's Jamal Karachi sat down for an exclusive interview with the main rebel leader, Abu Muhammad Al Vellani.
He says the Assad regime is, in his words, dead, and explains how his forces have been able to sweep through Syria, taking hammer after taking a look back. I mean, how significant is this for you right now? In an area from about Hama, from a military perspective, what comes after Hama will not be the same as what came before. However, I prefer not to be overly optimistic during the battle. I like to remain cautious and vigilant, to avoid complacency and ensure we don't suffer losses while believing we are safe.
What comes after this? What's after hammer?
The course of the battle. As for the secrets of the battle, let's leave them to the unfolding events. You will witness them in reality, which is better than discussing them now of the moment. I had this feeling.
In a matter of days you have taken major cities.
What's changed? How were you able to do this now?
I feel so now. In recent years, there has been a unification of internal opinions and the establishment of institutional structures within the liberated areas of Syria. This institutionalization included the restructuring within military factions. They entered unified training camps and developed a sense of discipline. This discipline allowed them, with God's guidance, to engage in a battle in an organized manner. The progress and execution of plans have been swift, with clear communication and adherence to commands. They stop where they should stop and withdraw where they should withdraw. The revolution has transitioned from chaos and randomness to a state of order, both in civil and institutional matters and in military operations alike. Some believe this is happening because the allies of the Assad regime, the Russians, Hezbollah, Iran, that they are weakened, they're preoccupied with other wars. And this is why we are seeing this happen right now in the Syrian regime itself, weakened. Is this what is happening right now? Is this why you chose to launch this offensive right now? And, you know, as you know, we are still in the midst of the battle and discussing such details at this time is not wise alone.
But you you faced more of a resistance in Hama than you did in Aleppo. What do you think happened? Why did the regime withdraw like it did?
The seeds of the regime's defeat have always been within it. It has been effectively dead since that time. However, the Iranians attempted to revive the regime, buying it time and later the Russians also tried to prop it up. But the truth remains this regime is dead. In the last year, it seemed like Bashar al Assad survived the war. He was welcomed back into the Arab fold and on the world stage and in the Arab countries. Evaluation of the situation was mistaken. Some Arab countries try to separate the regime from Iran's project. This is impossible. Even if the regime wants it, this it can't implement it. It's a subservient relationship. Iran can disengage from the regime, but the regime can't. Even to describe the regime is victorious, is deeply unjust to the many children, people, women subjected to rape in prisons, displaced individuals scattered across the world, those drowning in the seas and those living in tents on the borders of other countries.
What kind of victory are we talking about? Never in the past you have talked about strict Islamic rule. Is that still the plan? And in thus, people who fear Islamic governance either have seen incorrect implementations of it or do not understand it properly.
We are talking about something that aligns with the traditions and nature of the region. The most important thing is to build institutions. We are not talking about rule by individuals or personal whims. It's about institutional governance. Syria deserves a governing system that is institutional, not one where a single ruler makes arbitrary decisions. You are shaped. You know that many Syrians are happy and will be happy to see the end of the Assad regime, but they're also worried about what its rule would mean, including minorities. No one has the right to erase another group. These sects have co-existed in this region for hundreds of years, and no one has the right to eliminate them. There must be a legal framework that protects and ensures the rights of all. Not a system that serves only one sect as Assad's regime has done.
You know, listening to speaking, you've gone through quite the transformation.
Once an al-Qaida leader. Your group has had affiliations with al-Qaida, with ISIS, and now you are projecting this image of a moderate leader in a moderate group. What is its right now?
Hey, show me how he looks at the haters. Sham is one of the factions in the region, just like all the others. Now we're talking about a larger project. We're talking about building Syria here. Here. Sham is merely one detail of this dialog, and it may dissolve at any time. It's not an end in itself, but a means to perform a task confronting this regime. Once that task is complete, it will transition to a state of governance, institutions and so on. I believe that everyone in life goes through phases and experiences, and these experiences naturally increase a person's awareness. A person in their 20s will have a different personality than someone in their 30s or 40s, and certainly someone in their 50s.
So are those days behind you?
Sometimes it's essential to adjust to reality, and because someone who rigidly clings to certain ideas and principles without flexibility cannot effectively lead societies or navigate complex conflicts like the one happening in Syria.
People listening to this are going to wonder why they should believe you. You are still a, specially designated global terrorist by the United States with a $10 million bounty on your head. your group is a prescribed terrorist organization by the United States, by the UN, by the EU and others.
You know what I say to people don't judge by words, but by actions. I believe the reality speaks for itself. These classifications are primarily political and at the same time, wrong. I defined a terrorist as someone who intentionally kills civilians, harms innocents, or displaces people. If we're being honest, many of the wars waged by major powers in Arab, Muslim and even non-Muslim countries have involved the deliberate killing of thousands. The destruction of homes and the displacement of millions. Even the regime itself is guilty of such actions.
But the US and others would say is that you were part of groups that did exactly that.
Personally, I have not done these things. The situation must be understood in its historical context. There was a massive war in Iraq that deeply stirred people's emotions, prompting many to go there. The circumstances of that war led people to various places, and my path led me to one of those locations. Given my level of awareness and my young age at the time, my actions evolved to where I am today. I didn't go to Iraq with those intentions. I went to defend the Iraqi people. When I returned to Syria. I didn't want to bring what happened in Iraq into Syria. That's why there were disagreements between us and ISIS. People would be wondering why you've agreed to speak with us. So what is happening in Syria is significant for the entire world. This event has positive repercussions globally because under the regime's rule, Syria became a source of concern and trouble for everyone must have a stabilizing Syria will bring many people back today in the liberated areas. About one third of the population lives in camps. Approximately 1.5 million people. I believe we can soon reach a point where there are no camps with the rehabilitation of the liberated areas. People will return to their homes. Many refugees in Turkey will likely return, as will a significant number of refugees in Lebanon and Jordan. Even refugees in Europe may return to rebuild their country. I gave a fascinating interview there. I want to thank someone across and her crew for that exclusive.
In questa intervista Al-Jolani dimostra di essere equilibrato e diplomatico. Nessuna frase sopra le righe, nessuna invettiva contro il regime, al di là delle sacrosante critiche. Evita di nominare Israele, anche se il riferimento alla distruzione di Gaza è esplicito e condivisibile. Si guarda bene dallo scoprire le carte ma ribadisce il valore della Siria unita come fattore di svolta per tutto il Medio oriente.
In sintesi il messaggio di Al-Jolani è "tutti hanno da guadagnare da una Siria libera, dateci una mano e faremo buoni affari".
Al-Jolani farà soprattutto gli interessi del suo committente turco Erdogan ma sembra essere molto consapevole della necessità di allargare le alleanze e i riferimenti.
Per ora la Siria si gode la fine del regime sanguinario di Assad e la sconfitta del suo tutore Putin.
Non ci vorrà molto per capire le vere intenzioni dei nuovi padroni.
ifan
Key1: Abu Mohammad al-Jolani keywords: Ahmed Al-Sharaa, Abu Mohammad al-Jolani, Siria, Assad, Erdogan,
Date Created: 13/12/2024 15:22:13
